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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2313 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0627 PM CST THU DEC 28 2006 AREAS AFFECTED...ERN SLOPES OF THE FRONT RANGE IN CNTRL CO/SERN WY CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW VALID 290027Z - 290430Z A BAND OF HEAVY SNOW ALONG THE ERN SLOPES OF THE CO FRONT RANGE...FROM THE I-25 CORRIDOR WWD...WILL SPREAD NWD THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS INTO SERN WY. SNOWFALL RATES WILL CONTINUE TO OCCASIONALLY REACH 2 IN/HR AT TIMES...WITH LOCAL 3 IN/HR RATES IN THE FOOTHILLS. REGIONAL RADAR MOSAICS AND CURRENT SURFACE OBSERVATIONS CONFIRM A N/S BAND OF HEAVY SNOW HAS DEVELOPED THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE ERN SLOPES OF THE FRONT RANGE. 00Z AMA/MAF OBSERVED SOUNDINGS AND ACARS DATA DEPICT A 100+ KT JET STREAK NOSING NWD ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE...CONTRIBUTING TO UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE/DIFFLUENCE IN ITS LEFT EXIT REGION. THIS JET WILL SPREAD NWD THROUGH THE EVENING...ENHANCING ASCENT INTO SERN WY. IN ADDITION...REGIONAL PROFILERS ACROSS THE I-25 CORRIDOR HAVE SHOWN INCREASINGLY LARGE VEERED LOW/MID-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. ELY 1-3 KM AGL WINDS OF 25 TO 40 KTS WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE STRONG UPSLOPE FLOW...SUPPORTING THE EXPANSION OF HEAVY SNOW NWD. 18Z NAM/21Z RUC MODEL GUIDANCE WEAKEN THESE WINDS GRADUALLY FROM S TO N AFTER 03Z. CONSEQUENTLY...HEAVY SNOW WILL DIMINISH S OF THE PALMER DIVIDE BY 06Z. ..GRAMS.. 12/29/2006 ...NOTICE... SPC WINTER WEATHER MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS WILL BE ISSUED ON A SCHEDULED BASIS FROM DECEMBER 1 THROUGH FEBRUARY 28...FOUR TIMES A DAY...AROUND 00 UTC...06 UTC...12 UTC...AND 18 UTC FOR SIGNIFICANT SHORT RANGE WINTER WEATHER EVENTS. ATTN...WFO...PUB...BOU...CYS... 41800454 41170437 40310453 39260424 38620487 37850499 38160540 38970564 40110567 41600549 42020506
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